Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.034375 0.037451 0.040542 0.043876 0.047365 0.050900 0.054750
2025-12-28 0.028662 0.033128 0.037764 0.042910 0.048443 0.054192 0.060595
2026-01-04 0.024879 0.030399 0.036300 0.043022 0.050417 0.058256 0.067150
2026-01-11 0.022129 0.028496 0.035490 0.043641 0.052788 0.062649 0.074003
2026-01-18 0.019631 0.026627 0.034516 0.043910 0.054641 0.066387 0.080085
2026-01-25 0.016477 0.023717 0.032127 0.042375 0.054306 0.067564 0.083229
2026-02-01 0.014325 0.021811 0.030748 0.041864 0.055018 0.069827 0.087513
2026-02-08 0.012642 0.020334 0.029758 0.041705 0.056053 0.072391 0.092086
2026-02-15 0.011772 0.019811 0.029871 0.042816 0.058539 0.076599 0.098522
2026-02-22 0.010927 0.019244 0.029870 0.043741 0.060770 0.080488 0.104578
2026-03-01 0.009980 0.018457 0.029528 0.044195 0.062396 0.083643 0.109764
2026-03-08 0.009076 0.017652 0.029105 0.044500 0.063807 0.086517 0.114605
2026-03-15 0.008487 0.017282 0.029262 0.045572 0.066209 0.090643 0.121016
2026-03-22 0.007257 0.015864 0.027943 0.044696 0.066170 0.091829 0.123952
2026-03-29 0.006502 0.015097 0.027464 0.044876 0.067421 0.094555 0.128708
2026-04-05 0.005972 0.014637 0.027379 0.045549 0.069278 0.098007 0.134330
2026-04-12 0.005381 0.014020 0.027033 0.045847 0.070640 0.100846 0.139214
2026-04-19 0.004353 0.012541 0.025358 0.044286 0.069572 0.100666 0.140435
2026-04-26 0.003703 0.011644 0.024482 0.043769 0.069815 0.102075 0.143554
2026-05-03 0.003203 0.010962 0.023888 0.043611 0.070500 0.104017 0.147311
2026-05-10 0.003024 0.010888 0.024225 0.044754 0.072894 0.108095 0.153680
2026-05-17 0.002819 0.010740 0.024430 0.045704 0.075031 0.111852 0.159662
2026-05-24 0.002540 0.010398 0.024307 0.046170 0.076516 0.114786 0.164634